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	<title>Comments on: The Mathematics of War</title>
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		<title>By: The Best of Science blogging &#8211; August 2012 &#124; Australian Science</title>
		<link>http://australianscience.com.au/news/the-mathematics-of-war/#comment-11704</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[The Best of Science blogging &#8211; August 2012 &#124; Australian Science]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 03 Sep 2012 08:24:50 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[[...] The Mathematics of War  by Markus Hammonds, also featured at The SA Incubator Remarkably, based entirely on written reports between 2004 and 2009, they were able to predict with impressive accuracy, what events would occur in 2010. In short, using nothing but some clever mathematics, the researchers could tell what would likely happen next. Where conflicts would increase in intensity and where things would remain quiet. And this isn’t even a comprehensive model yet. There are many adjustments which can still be made to improve the accuracy still further. [...]]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[&#8230;] The Mathematics of War  by Markus Hammonds, also featured at The SA Incubator Remarkably, based entirely on written reports between 2004 and 2009, they were able to predict with impressive accuracy, what events would occur in 2010. In short, using nothing but some clever mathematics, the researchers could tell what would likely happen next. Where conflicts would increase in intensity and where things would remain quiet. And this isn’t even a comprehensive model yet. There are many adjustments which can still be made to improve the accuracy still further. [&#8230;]</p>
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		<title>By: Sedeer</title>
		<link>http://australianscience.com.au/news/the-mathematics-of-war/#comment-11632</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 31 Aug 2012 20:57:34 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[Thanks for the writeup!  I had heard a bit about this research but haven&#039;t yet taken the time to look at it myself.  It&#039;s good to know that they actually split the data into a training &#038; test set.  How precise were the predictions for 2010?  Was it something as vague as &quot;violence in province X will increase/decrease&quot; (which is the sort of thing one could already get from, eg, an officer&#039;s intuition) or were the predictions more quantitative &#038; precise?]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks for the writeup!  I had heard a bit about this research but haven&#8217;t yet taken the time to look at it myself.  It&#8217;s good to know that they actually split the data into a training &amp; test set.  How precise were the predictions for 2010?  Was it something as vague as &#8220;violence in province X will increase/decrease&#8221; (which is the sort of thing one could already get from, eg, an officer&#8217;s intuition) or were the predictions more quantitative &amp; precise?</p>
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